THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH TX
SUMMARY Large hail will be possible today across central Texas, while large hail and damaging gusts may occur later this afternoon/evening across parts of south central Texas. More isolated severe storms will be possible farther east into the lower Mississippi Valley and the Southeast.
20Z update Minor adjustments were made to clear severe from parts of northwest Texas in the wake of the ongoing storms now moving across north Texas. Otherwise, substantial instability remains across the Slight Risk area south of the cold front, with sufficient deep-layer shear to support severe storms. Isolated supercells remain possible ahead of the front into east Texas, and with activity developing over Mexico which will threaten the Rio Grande Valley later today.
The Slight Risk was also expanded a bit across Deep South Texas, in deference to the very strong instability which could fuel an MCS later tonight as the front continues south, and possibly interacts with activity/outflow moving out of Mexico. Capping is forecast to remain weak, supporting southeastward propagation. Damaging winds will be possible.
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